
なすダックん
チャンネル登録者数 4240人
623 回視聴 ・ 17いいね ・ 2025/05/14
For details on the financial statements and stock price scenario, please see here
note.com/nasdaq_n
1. Company Overview
• Founding background and base
• Founder's lineage and technical backbone
• Current CEO and his career and leadership characteristics
2. Main products and services
• Arista 7000 series switches
• EOS (Extensible Operating System)
• Cloud, AI, SDN technologies and use cases
3. Sector market analysis
• Global data center networking market size and growth rate
• Regional growth trends (North America, Asia Pacific)
• Competitor list and Arista's position
4. Latest corporate trends
• AI networking strengthening measures (CV UNO, CLB function, etc.)
• Share buyback and shareholder return attitude
• AI revenue outlook and strategic positioning
5. Financial analysis (financial statements)
•Balance sheet (equity ratio, current ratio, quick ratio)
•Profit and loss statement (sales growth rate, operating profit margin, net profit margin)
•Cash flow analysis (operating, investment, financial CF)
•Shareholder indicators (EPS, ROE)
•Comprehensive financial evaluation
6. SWOT analysis
•Strengths (EOS, in-house architecture, customer base)
•Weaknesses (geopolitical risks, weak sales network)
•Opportunities (AI demand, ESG, observational network)
•Threats (advancement of vertical integration, white box)
7. Five forces analysis (competitive environment)
•Threat of new entrants (technical barriers)
•Threat of substitutes (white box, virtual network)
•Seller's bargaining power (ASIC dependence)
•Buyer's bargaining power (price negotiations with hyperscalers)
•Relationships with existing competitors (Cisco, Juniper, NVIDIA, etc.)
8. PEST analysis (macro environment)
•Political factors (regulations, government procurement, trade friction)
•Economic factors (interest rates, AI generation, exchange rates)
•Social factors (IT talent shortage, communication dependency of Gen Z)
•Technical factors (AI/HPC support, SONiC integration, security integration)
9. Stock price and chart analysis
Low-risk type (defensive investment)
•IN price: $85 (targeting pullbacks)
•Investment amount: 30
•Upside target: $115 (+35.3%)
•Maximum drop: $75 (-11.7%)
•Limit stop: $75 (loss of $10 → actual loss rate 10%)
•Risk reward: approx. 1:3.5 → Rating: Very good (◎)
Medium risk type (between pullback and expected upside)
•IN price: $91
•Investment amount: 50
•Expected average acquisition: $89
•Upside target: $120 (+34.8%)
•Maximum downside: $77 (-13.5%)
•Loss cut: $77 (loss of $12 → actual loss rate 13.5%)
•Risk reward: approx. 1:2.5 → Evaluation: Good (◯)
High-risk type (all-out investment with emphasis on future potential)
•IN price: $92 (latest price)
•Investment amount: 100
•Average purchase price estimate: $85
•Upside target: $135 (+46.7%)
•Maximum drop: $65 (-29.3%)
•No stop loss, long-term averaging strategy
•Evaluation: Large return, but prepared for drawdown (△)
Entry point and resistance analysis
Best to enter and aim for correction in the $90-$92 range.
Since the RSI is over 70, temporary adjustments are likely, and a pullback of $85 to $88 is ideal.
4. List of important lines
Resistance line
•$105: High of recovery in November 2024
•$120: Psychological turning point, most recent high in January 2025
•$133.57: Highest price in February 2025
Support line
•$90: Short-term trend reversal point
•$83 to $85: Price range where the 25-day line and the 75-day line overlap
•$75: Medium-term support + volume concentration zone
Source: Arista Networks (www.arista.com/en/)
TradingView(jp.tradingview.com/)
Wikipedia(www.wikipedia.org/)
Mordor Intelligence(www.mordorintelligence.com/)
Other notations in the video
Audio: Narration by Video production company VIDWEB (vidweb.co.jp/)
#US stocks #growth stocks #investment
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